Best bets for Pacers vs. Magic, Raptors vs. Kings

NBA Rivalry Week takes place Wednesday night with two games on the nationally televised doubleheader featuring teams that are sure to be rivals in every way: Nets vs. 76ers (7:30 p.m. ET) and Grizzlies vs. Warriors (10 p.m. ET) .

Our analysts are going in a different direction for their best bets. They target three bets on two of the 10 games on the schedule and, as a player prop, the first half total and split bet in those games.

Read on for their expert picks and predictions for Wednesday night.

NBA odds and picks

Indiana Pacers vs. Orlando Magic

Take
Magic -5.5
Book
BetMGM
Trick
7 p.m. ET
TV
NBA League Pass

Chris Baker: I’ve had this spot circled for the Magic since Monday and their victory over the Celtics has further solidified my belief. I’ve been raised on this Magic team all season and they’re finally fully healthy with Jonathan Isaac returning on Monday.

Isaac had an immediate impact at both ends of the court against the NBA’s No. 1 team: 10 points on 4-of-7 shooting with two steals. Isaac further adds to the number of unicorns the Magic has in its front yard.

Between Franz Wagner, Paolo Banchero, Bol Bol, Isaac, Mo Bamba and Wendell Carter Jr., this Orlando team is full of great talent. This is a huge problem for the Pacers who are extremely lacking in size and defensive ability in their front court. Outside of Myles Turner, the Pacers play virtually no other big players in their main rotation.

As a result, the Pacers rank 29th in defensive rebound rate and 27th in opposing rim rate allowed. They don’t defend the paint well, which is a necessity against the Magic. They’ll likely have Aaron Nesmith and Chris Duarte try to guard 6-foot-10 players like Wagner and Banchero. It would be a complete mismatch and I expect the Magic to score at will tonight.

Plus, it’s just an awful place for the Pacers — on the road on the second straight night after a thrilling win over the Chicago Bulls on Tuesday.

I don’t have this highly rated team without Tyrese Haliburton. Since the fall of Haliburton on Jan. 11, the Pacers are 1-6 SU and 3-4 ATS and they rank 29th in offensive rating over that streak. The only positive metric for them is offensive rebound rate (second on this streak). I would expect their newfound talent for offensive boards to wear off against this physical Magic team that ranks 12th in defensive rebounding rate.

I love this place situationally and game-wise and I play down to -6 comfortably.


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Toronto Raptors vs. Sacramento Kings

Take
Domantas Sabonis o31.5 PTS + REB
Book
DraftKings
Trick
10 p.m. ET
TV
NBA League Pass

Joe Dellera: The Kings face the Raptors today and it’s a great place for Domantas Sabonis. He’s been amazing this season and finally getting some of the recognition he deserves in the league. I love his props tonight against Siakam and the Raptors.

Sabonis and Siakam are similar in the way they play, both can score, rebound and will also facilitate. However, Sabonis has dominated this game for the past few seasons. He also recorded five consecutive double-doubles and a triple-double.

Sabonis’ Points + Rebounds prop is set at 31.5 and depending on your book it may be 32.5. He erased that number in three of his last five against Siakam, but more importantly, he destroyed that number with a performance of 21 points, 20 rebounds and seven assists this season on December 14.

I prefer the Points + Rebounds line as opposed to Points + Rebounds + Assists in this spot because I think his backhand assist in this game isn’t as important due to Toronto’s length and ability to defend the other markers on the Kings. I think Sabonis will be a main offensive option tonight.

His history against the Raptors aside, Sabonis has missed that 31.5 line in three straight games; however, he had topped 31.5 in 18 of the previous 19 games. I’ll back him to get back on track tonight against the Raptors and I’ll take that up to 32.5 PR.


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Toronto Raptors vs. Sacramento Kings

Take
First half over 122.5
Book
FanDuel

Munaf Manji: The Raptors and Kings face off tonight in Sacramento and I expect a lot of points to be scored in the first half.

First, the Raptors are 7-1-over in the first half in their last eight games, according to Bet Labs. The Kings are 8-1-over in the first half in their last nine games.

Additionally, in the past five games, the Raptors and Kings have ranked first and second respectively in offensive rating. During the same span, the first half of Kings games averaged 127 points, and the Kings are allowing 63 points per game in the first half.

The Raptors are no strangers to high-scoring games this season. In fact, the Raptors are 10-4-plus in non-conference games this season and 13-8 on the road this season (per Bet Labs). I expect the offenses to be in full swing tonight. I like this number up to 123.5.


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